Position
CICERO abandons the purely historical and diplomatic narratives that dominate traditional international-relations think tanks. It relies instead on mathematical modelling, causal inference, and game theory to price state and non-state behaviour.
A dispute is a system. It has parties with defined stakes, information they do and do not hold, resources that constrain them, and a set of moves whose payoffs can be written down. Once that structure is explicit, the questions that matter become answerable: what does escalation cost each side, where does the settlement range actually sit, which institutional change moves it — and how much societal conflict is avoided by moving it.
That is the whole of CICERO's method, and the economic analysis of law is its spine: a rule is read as a price, and the behaviour it buys is measured. It is why the institute recruits legal analysts alongside economists working in game theory and data scientists building the underlying conflict maps — and why every research track pairs field work with formal analysis.
CICERO operates as a foundation under Indonesian law, with a charter binding it to the advancement of knowledge and the advancement of education. It is non-partisan by construction: its findings are published, its funding is disclosed, and its research agenda is ratified by the Board of Trustees rather than by any single officer.
