Conflict, modelled before it is argued.

Societal Conflict

A dispute is a negotiation under pressure. We work out where one can fairly settle, what delay costs the people caught in it, and which laws create disputes that never needed to happen. The legal system sets those terms; set badly, they turn disagreement into societal conflict.

• Finding the laws that cause avoidable disputes
• Where disputes settle, in or out of court
• What legal uncertainty costs people
• How policy rollouts create public friction
• Who gains, who loses, who was never asked
• Making procedures faster and fairer

Institutional Conflict

Institutions decide who pays and who benefits: tax, public spending, borrowing, tariffs, central bank rates. Whatever the politics, those choices carry structural incentives we can measure — who is charged, who is exempt, who carries the burden, and how it lands on households and the industries driving development.

• Tax policy: who is charged, who is exempt
• Where the tax burden actually falls
• Impact on development and the industries driving it
• Monetary policy: rates, currency, inflation
• Fiscal policy: spending, borrowing, public debt
• Tariffs, sanctions and trade measures

Transboundary Conflict

Conflict that crosses borders: territory and sea lanes, and now chip supply chains and AI. States and non-state actors move on structural incentives under constraint. We build the payoff matrices narrative diplomacy leaves implicit — where escalation pays, and what each move really costs.

• Maritime claims and sea-lane control
• Territorial and border disputes
• Chip supply chains and export controls
• AI and emerging-technology competition
• Deterrence and signalling
• Coalition stability

Preventing Post-Reform Conflicts

An Interdisciplinary Approach to Reform Without Reprisal

Reform creates losers, and losers retaliate. Time and again the officials who pushed a reform through are later investigated, charged, or convicted — sometimes under the very provisions they set out to change. This track maps how that reprisal works, where the exposure sits, and what sequencing and safeguards keep reformers out of the dock.

Clarifying Legal Risk in Indonesia

An Interdisciplinary Approach to Obscure Law and Institutional Overlap

Indonesian law carries provisions that are vague, overlapping, or dormant until they are suddenly enforced — and institutions whose mandates blur into one another. That obscurity is itself a cost, paid long before any court rules. This track maps where it sits, what it prices, and which institutional fixes compress it.

Indonesian Future Legal Leaders

Seminar series & lecture programme

A standing seminar and lecture programme for the next generation of legal leadership — pairing doctrinal grounding with the quantitative toolkit CICERO works in.